top of page
shutterstock_1688198239.jpg
uncle sam govflation_edited.jpg

Government Headlines

CPI

+3.11%

Dec:  +3.4%

Nov:  +3.1%

Oct:  +3.2%
 

Real Return

+2.4%

 Dec:  +2.1%

Nov:  +2.4%

Oct:  +2.3%
 

GDP

+0.83% | +3.3% YoY

2023  Q3: +1.2%

2023  Q2: +0.53%

2023  Q1: +0.55%
 

*CPI Value pulled from BLS(https://www.bls.gov/) percent calculated from change from CPI value 12 months prior.

Real Return calculated from taking greatest return value at time of CPI release - CPI.
Return value pulled from https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024

Percent change calculated from comparing last quarter. YoY taken by multiplying percent change by 4.
GDP value aquired from
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Real Gross Domestic Product [GDPC1], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDPC1, May 3, 2024

$ SUPPLY

+0.48% MoM

Nov: $20.76T | +0.19%

Oct: $20.72T | -0.14% 

Sep: $20.75T | -0.34%
 

Percent change calculated by comparing last month m2 supply to current month
Data acquired from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), M2 [M2SL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL, May 7, 2024.

DATA circles copy.png
make data great again mini white_edited.jpg

GOVflation Headlines

CPI

+10.9%

Dec:  +11.19%

Nov:  +10.96%

Oct:  +11.07%
 

Real Return

-5.4%

Dec:  -5.69%

Nov:  -5.46%

Oct:  -5.57%
 

GDP

-0.31% | -1.24% YoY

2023  Q3: -0.35%

2023  Q2: -0.21%

2023  Q1: -0.60%
 

$ SUPPLY

+0.78% MoM

Nov:  32.65%  |  +0.67%

Oct:  31.98%  |  +0.05% 

Sep:  31.93%  |  +0.06%
 

*CPI based on BLS COGI designed to measure the cost of maintaining a constant standard of living.

*Real Rate of Return is the largest UST % APY minus Govflation CPI.

*GDP based on real GDP change QoQ, adjusted for distortions in CPI that create upside bias to official reporting.

*US Money Supply relative to Pre-Pandemic (Feb 2020) liquidity levels.

COGI vs CPI

COGI vs CPI

Hover over chart to see data.
Note: Govflation CPI calculated using gov's original Cost of Goods Index (COGI)
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics & Govflation.com

GDP

real GDP vs GDP

Hover over chart to see data.
Note: Govflation CPI calculated using gov's original Cost of Goods Index (COGI)
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics & Govflation.com

bottom of page